x402 census · x402.fenixfoundry.com · ae272523a2b2 · JSON
POST /probability
unprobed
What does the market think? Ask any event question in plain English and get the implied probability from live Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets: per-venue odds, a liquidity-weighted consensus forecast, and a cross-venue divergence flag.
Verdict: not verified by an unpaid GET. not probed yet. This says nothing about whether the route works when called as declared.
Facts from the catalogs
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| URL | https://x402.fenixfoundry.com/probability |
| Method | POST |
| Price | $0.01 USDC = 15000 atomic units of 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913 |
| Network | eip155:8453 (base) |
| payTo | 0x737426d3eD53930B889b3f61774669a0FDf3BE54 |
| Seller | x402.fenixfoundry.com |
| Catalogs | cdp (row updated 2026-09-05) |
| Listed since (lower bound) | 2026-09-05 (earliest catalog timestamp; catalogs report last-update times only) |
| Last catalog update | 2026-09-05 |
| CDP quality counters | 1 calls and 1 unique payers in 30 days, last call 2026-09-05 (catalog-reported, not verified on chain) |
| Category (keyword rule) | trading-signals |
| Templated path | no |
| x402Version in catalog | 2 |
| Service name / tags | market-probability · prediction-markets, polymarket, kalshi, probability, forecasting |
Unpaid probe (census of )
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Probe | not probed in this build |
No hourly re-probe has reached this resource yet; the cron covers a rotating slice of 150 per hour.
On-chain facts for the payTo (public address)
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Distinct payers | 2 |
| Payments | 3 |
| USDC volume | $0.01 |
| Median payment | $0.003 |
| First / last payment | 2026-08-10 / 2026-09-11 |
| Sampler-shaped share of payments | 100.0% |
| Payers that are not samplers | 0 |
| Source | forensics-2026-09-30 |
| Address | 0x737426d3eD53930B889b3f61774669a0FDf3BE54 |
Declared input and output (extensions.bazaar)
{
"input": {
"body": {
"maxMarkets": 4,
"q": "Will the Fed cut rates before September 2026?"
},
"bodyType": "json",
"method": "POST",
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example_truncated": true,
"chars": 1070
}
}
Try it (unpaid: shows the 402)
curl -si -X POST 'https://x402.fenixfoundry.com/probability' -H 'accept: application/json' -H 'content-type: application/json' --data '{}'
The catalog declares POST. A 402 answer carries the payment requirements in the JSON body and, for x402 v2, base64 in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header. This page never sends a payment.
Paid checks (x402, USDC on Base)
GET https://bazaar.agentexchange.work/r/ae272523a2b2/probe.json re-runs this probe right now for $0.01 and writes the result here. POST https://bazaar.agentexchange.work/featured with {"id":"ae272523a2b2"} places this resource at the top of the report and search pages for 30 days for $1.00, labelled. Unpaid requests answer 402 with the terms. Pricing.
Catalog references: agentic.market (CDP Bazaar front end) · this record as JSON · all resources on x402.fenixfoundry.com.