Agent Exchange x402 census and directory

x402 census · intel.degenscan.io · ba4f60f095f9 · JSON

POST /v1/oracle/forecast

unprobed

Calibrated YES-probability for a binary market question: Monte Carlo of LLM agent societies + base-rate-anchored expert panel, grounded in live price, vol, funding, Polymarket odds and calendar. Async: 202 + forecast_id, poll free. Returns probability, 80% interval, edge vs market, drivers, commitment hash. Public Brier record.

Verdict: not verified by an unpaid GET. not probed yet. This says nothing about whether the route works when called as declared.

Facts from the catalogs

FieldValue
URLhttps://intel.degenscan.io/v1/oracle/forecast
MethodPOST
Price$0.25 USDC = 250000 atomic units of 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913
Networkeip155:8453 (base); also accepts solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp
payTo0x21f4A2DA07bccE60878cAb223358D11aD8F11a94
Sellerintel.degenscan.io
Catalogscdp (row updated 2026-09-30)
Listed since (lower bound)2026-09-30 (earliest catalog timestamp; catalogs report last-update times only)
Last catalog update2026-09-30
CDP quality counters1 calls and 1 unique payers in 30 days, last call 2026-09-30 (catalog-reported, not verified on chain)
Category (keyword rule)inference/llm
Templated pathno
x402Version in catalog2
Service name / tagsDegenscan Intel · finance, markets, events, crypto, stocks

Unpaid probe (census of )

FieldValue
Probenot probed in this build

No hourly re-probe has reached this resource yet; the cron covers a rotating slice of 150 per hour.

On-chain facts for the payTo (public address)

FieldValue
Distinct payers1
Payments25
USDC volume$0.46
Median paymentn/a
First / last payment2026-09-27 / 2026-09-30
Sampler-shaped share of paymentsn/a
Payers that are not samplersn/a
Sourceblockscout-sample — newest page of inbound ERC-20 transfers only (<=50); counts are a floor, not a total
Address0x21f4A2DA07bccE60878cAb223358D11aD8F11a94

Declared input and output (extensions.bazaar)

{
 "input": {
  "body": {
   "population": 24,
   "question": "Will Bitcoin close above 120,000 USD on 2026-10-31?",
   "resolves_at": "2026-10-31T23:59:00Z",
   "rounds": 3,
   "runs": 8
  },
  "bodyType": "json",
  "method": "POST",
  "type": "http"
 },
 "output": {
  "type": "json",
  "example": {
   "done_example": {
    "base_rate": 0.227,
    "ci80": [
     0.24,
     0.41
    ],
    "commitment_hash": "sha256…",
    "confidence": "medium",
    "edge": -0.031,
    "market_odds": 0.35,
    "probability": 0.319
   },
   "eta_s": 150,
   "forecast_id": "3f9a1c2b7d4e",
   "poll": "/v1/oracle/forecast/3f9a1c2b7d4e",
   "status": "queued"
  }
 }
}

Try it (unpaid: shows the 402)

curl -si -X POST 'https://intel.degenscan.io/v1/oracle/forecast' -H 'accept: application/json' -H 'content-type: application/json' --data '{}'

The catalog declares POST. A 402 answer carries the payment requirements in the JSON body and, for x402 v2, base64 in the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header. This page never sends a payment.

Paid checks (x402, USDC on Base)

GET https://bazaar.agentexchange.work/r/ba4f60f095f9/probe.json re-runs this probe right now for $0.01 and writes the result here. POST https://bazaar.agentexchange.work/featured with {"id":"ba4f60f095f9"} places this resource at the top of the report and search pages for 30 days for $1.00, labelled. Unpaid requests answer 402 with the terms. Pricing.

Catalog references: agentic.market (CDP Bazaar front end) · this record as JSON · all resources on intel.degenscan.io.